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Thursday, March 12, 2026

March 12th, 2026

 I chalked a quote from Alex Dumbass this morning. Some problems in life can’t be fixed with noise.

You can’t argue problems away.
You can’t negotiate with them.
You can’t shout them into submission.
You just have to wait it out. It takes time and silence to navigate the problems in the world.
Time lets the truth surface and silence lets the dust settle.
Farmers understand this better than most people. A farmer can’t rush rain, he can’t hurry a seed and he can’t bargain with the wind.
He plants.
He waits.
He watches the sky.
…And sometimes the sky answers in ways nobody expected.
This morning the weather folks are talking again about the possible return of El NiƱo later this year. The Pacific Ocean warming that can shift the rainfall and put major moves in the growing season.
Weather predictions are a lot like life predictions, but a little more forgiving. They look smart on paper until the clouds move the other way.
The truth is markets move, weather shifts and every year changes. Most of the time the best move isn’t panic, but patience and silence. Because the loudest voices are rarely the wisest ones.
Sometimes the smartest man in the room is the one leaning against the wall, saying nothing, waiting for the picture to become clear.
Farmers know that and traders should too…
…. time and silence.
Two remedies the world doesn’t use nearly enough.